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Decision theory with complex uncertainties
Authors:Dilip B Madan  J C Owings
Institution:(1) Department of Econometrics, University of Sydney, 2006 Sydney, NSW, Australia
Abstract:A case is made for supposing that the total probability accounted for in a decision analysis is less than unity. This is done by constructing a measure on the set of all codes for computable functions in such a way that the measure of every effectively accountable subset is bounded by a number beta<1. The consistency of these measures with the Savage axioms for rational preference is established. Implications for applied decision theory are outlined.
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