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Comparison of contributing factors in hit-and-run crashes with distracted and non-distracted drivers
Institution:1. Lyles School of Civil Engineering, Purdue University, 550 Stadium Mall, West Lafayette, IN 47907-2051, USA;2. School of Highway, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, PR China;1. Center for Injury Research and Prevention, The Children''s Hospital of Philadelphia, 3535 Market Street, Suite 1150, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA;2. Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, 423 Guardian Drive, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA;3. Department of Pediatrics at the Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, 3620 Hamilton Walk, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA;4. Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, 1415 Washington Heights, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA;5. Survey Methodology Program, Institute for Social Research University of Michigan, Rm. 4068, 426 Thompson Street, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA;1. BMW Group, 80788 München, Germany;2. Technische Universität Chemnitz, 09107 Chemnitz, Germany
Abstract:Among different types of crashes, hit-and-run is driver’s failure to stop after a vehicle crash. There are many accidents where drivers could actually be at fault or totally innocent, and leaving the scene would turn an innocent driver into a criminal. The current paper aims to contribute to the literature by exploring the association of different variables pertaining to the condition of infrastructure, environment, driver, population of the area, and crash severity and type with hit-and-run crashes. The analysis is performed for two data sets: (i) crashes where the driver was distracted; and (ii) crashes where driver was not distracted. Hit-and-run crash data with corresponding factors are police-reported data for crashes within Cook County, Illinois, occurring between 2004 and 2012. A logistic regression model assessed 43 variables within 16 categories for statistically significant association with hit-and-run crashes, for drivers with and without distraction. For both driver distraction statuses, 17 variables were associated with a significant increased probability of a hit-and-run crash and 10 variables were associated with a significant decreased probability. Additionally, it was found that crashes on curve level and curve hillcrest road alignment types were associated with increased likelihood of a hit-and-run crash when the driver was distracted and decreased likelihood when the driver was not distracted. Variables related to hit-and-run crashes vary depending on driver’s distraction status. When comparing likelihood to flee the scene after a crash, non-distracted drivers are 27% less likely to do so compared to distracted drivers.
Keywords:Hit-and-run  Distraction  Logistic regression model  Traffic safety
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