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An impossibility theorem for amalgamating evidence
Authors:Jacob Stegenga
Institution:1. Department of Philosophy, University of California San Diego, 9500 Gilman Dr, La Jolla, CA, 92093, USA
Abstract:Amalgamating evidence of different kinds for the same hypothesis into an overall confirmation is analogous, I argue, to amalgamating individuals’ preferences into a group preference. The latter faces well-known impossibility theorems, most famously “Arrow’s Theorem”. Once the analogy between amalgamating evidence and amalgamating preferences is tight, it is obvious that amalgamating evidence might face a theorem similar to Arrow’s. I prove that this is so, and end by discussing the plausibility of the axioms required for the theorem.
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