Affiliation: | 1. Department of Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method, LSE, Houghton Street, London, WC2A 2AE, UK 2. Centre for Philosophy of Natural and Social Science (CPNSS), LSE, Houghton Street, London, WC2A 2AE, UK 3. Centre for the Analysis of Time Series (CATS), LSE, London, UK 4. Pembroke College Oxford, Oxford, UK 6. Department of Statistics, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, 60637, USA 5. The Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, LSE, London, UK 7. Department of Physics, University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL, UK 8. Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, South Parks Road, Oxford, OX1 3QY, UK
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