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Exploring Directional Consistency in Offending: The Case of Residential Burglary in The Hague
Authors:Stijn Van Daele  Wim Bernasco
Affiliation:1. Research Foundation—Flanders (FWO), IRCP, Ghent University, , Ghent, Belgium;2. Netherlands Institute for the Study of Crime and Law Enforcement (NSCR), , Amsterdam, Netherlands
Abstract:Many aspects of human behaviour are remarkably stable across times, places and situations. Repetition and predictability also characterises our geographical behaviour. Prior research has confirmed that criminal behaviour is no exception. Offenders tend to recidivate, and recidivists tend to be behaviourally consistent in many aspects, including geographical ones. The present study assesses directional consistency in offending. It reviews the literature on directional consistency. It proposes an improved measure of directional consistency, and empirically uses this measure to explore directional consistency amongst a set of 268 burglars in The Hague. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Keywords:journey‐to‐crime  behavioural consistency  spatial analysis  directional statistics  burglary
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