A quantitative analysis of sequential effects with numeric stimuli

In a simulated absolute judgment task, subjects guessed which numeral would appear next in a random sequence. Feedback was given after every trial. The average response for the nth trial was analyzed as a joint function of both the response and the feedback for the previous trial. The results confirm those of an earlier study by Ward and Lockhead (1971). Two new models are proposed to explain sequence effects in this task of infinite difficulty. Although computer simulations based on the models fit the data reasonably well, problems remain when attempts are made to apply the same theoretical reasoning to absolute judgment tasks involving actual stimuli.