Bicycle fatalities: Trends in crashes with and without motor vehicles in The Netherlands |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Ministry of Infrastructure and the Environment, Rijswijk, The Netherlands;2. Utrecht University, Department of Human Geography & Spatial Planning, Utrecht, The Netherlands;3. SWOV Institute for Road Safety Research, Den Haag, The Netherlands;4. University of New South Wales, School of Mathematics and Statistics, Sydney, Australia;1. Consumer Data Research Centre, School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, United Kingdom;2. School of Psychology, University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, United Kingdom;1. Road Safety Institute SWOV, PO Box 93113, 2509 AC The Hague, the Netherlands;2. LaboratórionNacional de Engenharia Civil, Avenida do Brasil, 101, 1700-066 Lisboa, Portugal;3. Kuratorium für Verkehrssicherheit, Schleiergasse 18 A-1100 Wien, Austria;4. Road and Bridge Research Institute, 1 Instytutowa Str., 03-302 Warsaw, Poland;1. Faculty of Health Sciences, Simon Fraser University, 8888 University Dr, Burnaby, BC, Canada V5A 1S6;2. Centre for Hip Health and Mobility, 7/F, 2635 Laurel Street, Vancouver, BC, Canada V5Z 1M9;1. Dept. of Technology & Society, Faculty of Engineering, LTH, Lund University, Box 118, 22100 Lund, Sweden;2. Traffic Behaviour, TNO, Kampweg 5, 3769 DE Utrecht, The Netherlands;3. Dept. of Civil, Geological and Mining Engineering, Polytechnique Montréal, H3C 3A7 Montréal, Québec, Canada;4. Institute of Transport Economics, Gaustadalléen 21, NO-0349 Oslo, Norway;1. Roessingh Research and Development, Roessinghsbleekweg 33, 7522 AH Enschede, The Netherlands;2. Faculty of Engineering Technology, Department of Biomechanical Engineering, University of Twente, P.O. Box 217, Enschede 7500 AE, The Netherlands;3. Medical School Twente, Medisch Spectrum Twente, Enschede, The Netherlands;4. Faculty of Biomedical Signals and Systems, University of Twente, P.O. Box 217, Enschede 7500 AE, The Netherlands;5. Faculty of Behavioural and Social Sciences, Neuropsychology/Traffic Psychology, University of Groningen, Grote Kruisstraat 2/1, 9712 TS Groningen, The Netherlands |
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| Abstract: | Boufous and Olivier (2015) recently found an increasing trend of police-reported cyclist deaths in single-vehicle crashes while a decreasing trend was found for fatal bicycle-motor vehicle crashes. This study sets out to conduct the same trend analyses for the Netherlands using causes of death statistics. The results show that for 1996–2014, the number of cyclist deaths in motor vehicle collisions per km cycled (i.e. the risk) has declined by 3.8% per annum (95% CI: −4.6%, −3.0%) while the risk of cyclist deaths in crashes without motor vehicles increased by 7.0% per annum (95% CI: 5.5%, 8.7%). The large majority of cyclist deaths at the beginning of the study period were due to bicycle-motor vehicle crashes. By 2014, however, the share with motor vehicles was only slightly higher than the share without motor vehicles. We also conducted trend analyses controlling for age by stratifying into nine age groups. After controlling for age, the average annual decrease of cyclist deaths in crashes with motor vehicles was 5.4% (95% CI: −6.0% to − 4.7%). The average annual increase of deaths in crashes without motor vehicles was 4.4% (95% CI: 3.1–5.7%). These trends are more favourable than those without controlling for age which can be explained by more cycling among the elderly who have an elevated risk. We conclude that, similar to Australia, cyclist deaths following motor vehicle crashes in the Netherlands have decreased while deaths without motor vehicles have increased. |
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| Keywords: | Road safety Cycling safety Underreporting Single-bicycle crashes Non-collision bicycle crashes |
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