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The Dynamics of Indexical Belief
Authors:Moritz Schulz
Affiliation:(1) Humboldt-Universit?t zu Berlin, Unter den Linden 6, 10099 Berlin, Germany
Abstract:Indexical beliefs pose a special problem for standard theories of Bayesian updating. Sometimes we are uncertain about our location in time and space. How are we to update our beliefs in situations like these? In a stepwise fashion, I develop a constraint on the dynamics of indexical belief. As an application, the suggested constraint is brought to bear on the Sleeping Beauty problem.
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