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Correlation and prediction in ordinal test theory
Authors:Robert S. Schulman
Affiliation:(1) Department of Statistics, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, 24061 Blacksburg, Virginia
Abstract:Based on the test theory model for ordinal measurements proposed by Schulman and Haden, the present paper considers correlations between tests, attenuation, regressions involving true and observed scores, and prediction of test reliability.The population correlation between tests is shown to be related to the expected sample correlation for samples of sizen1 andn2. Errors of estimation, measurement and prediction are found to be similar to their counterparts in interval test theory, while attenuation is identical to its counterpart. The bias in estimating population reliability from sample data is compared for Kendall's tau and Spearman's rho.The author wishes to thank the referees for their helpful comments on an earlier draft of this paper, and in particular, for the suggested alternative methods of establishing some of the presented results.
Keywords:attenuation  error of estimation  error of measurement  error of prediction  reliability estimation
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