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Accounting for Dependence: Relative Consilience as a Correction Factor in Cumulative Case Arguments
Authors:Lydia McGrew
Institution:Kalamazoo, Michigan
Abstract:I propose a measure of dependence that relates a set of items of evidence to an hypothesis H and to H's negation. I dub this measure relative consilience (RC) and propose a method for using it as a correction factor for dependence among items of evidence. Using RC, I examine collusion and testimonial independence, the value of diverse evidence, and the strengthening of otherwise weak or non-existent cases. RC provides a valuable tool for formal epistemologists interested in analyzing cumulative case arguments.
Keywords:Bayesianism  coherence  dependence  independence  testimony
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