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The estimation of proportions inm groups
Authors:Melvin R Novick  Charles Lewis  Paul H Jackson
Institution:(1) The American College Testing Program, USA;(2) The University of Iowa, USA;(3) The University of Illinois, USA;(4) The University College of Wales, Aberystwyth, UK
Abstract:In many applications, it is desirable to estimate binomial proportions inm groups where it is anticipated that these proportions are similar but not identical. Following a general approach due to Lindley, a Bayesian Model II aposteriori modal estimate is derived that estimates the inverse sine transform of each proportion by a weighted average of the inverse sine transform of the observed proportion in the individual group and the average of the estimated values. Comparison with a classical method due to Jackson spotlights some desirable features of Model II analyses. The simplicity of the present formulation makes it possible to study the behavior of the Bayesian Model II approach more closely than in more complex formulations. Also, it is possible to estimate the amount of gain afforded by the Model II analyses.
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