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A theoretically informed meta-analysis of the risk for general and violent recidivism for mentally disordered offenders
Affiliation:1. Corrections Research Unit, Public Safety Canada, 340 Laurier Ave. W., Ottawa, Ontario, K1A 0P8, Canada;2. Department of Psychology, Carleton University, 1125 Colonel By Drive, Ottawa, Ontario, K1S 5B6, Canada;1. Old Dominion University, Department of Psychology, Norfolk, VA 23529, United States;2. Virginia Consortium Program in Clinical Psychology, 700 Park Avenue/MCAR-410, Norfolk State University, Norfolk, VA 23504, United States;1. University of Nevada, Las Vegas, Las Vegas, NV, USA;2. University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA;1. University of Houston, United States;2. Baylor College of Medicine, United States;3. Georgia College, United States;4. Baylor University, United States
Abstract:Mentally disordered offenders (MDOs) pose a significant challenge for forensic and correctional staff charged with managing them in a safe and humane manner. As with non-disordered offenders, it is important to identify the factors that are predictive of recidivism and can serve as treatment targets for MDOs. The present meta-analysis evaluated the relative predictive validity of the risk/need domains from the General Personality and Cognitive Social Learning (GPCSL) perspective and variables taken from the clinical perspective. The search yielded a total of 126 studies reporting on 96 unique samples (N = 23,900). Results indicated that all risk/need domains under the GPCSL perspective were significantly related to both general and violent recidivism. In contrast, the majority of clinical variables (with the exception of antisocial personality/psychopathy) were not predictive of either outcome. These findings emphasize the importance of identifying appropriate risk factors for MDOs.
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