The estimation of true score variance and error variance in the classical test theory model

The use of one-way analysis of variance tables for obtaining unbiased estimates of true score variance and error score variance in the classical test theory model is discussed. Attention is paid to both balanced (equal numbers of observations on each person) and unbalanced designs, and estimates provided for both homoscedastic (common error variance for all persons) and heteroscedastic cases. It is noted that optimality properties (minimum variance) can be claimed for estimates derived from analysis of variance tables only in the balanced, homoscedastic case, and that there they are essentially a reflection of the symmetry inherent in the situation. Estimates which might be preferable in other cases are discussed. An example is given where a natural analysis of variance table leads to estimates which cannot be derived from the set of statistics which is sufficient under normality assumptions. Reference is made to Bayesian studies which shed light on the difficulties encountered. Work on this paper was carried out at the headquarters of the American College Testing Program, Iowa City, Iowa, while the author was on leave from the University College of Wales.