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Quantum mechanics and violations of the sure-thing principle: The use of probability interference and other concepts
Authors:Andrei Yu. Khrennikov
Affiliation:a International Center for Mathematical Modelling in Physics and Cognitive Sciences, MSI, University of Växjö, Sweden
b School of Management, University of Leicester, United Kingdom
Abstract:The use of quantum mechanical concepts in social science is a fairly new phenomenon. This paper uses one of quantum mechanics’ most basic concepts, probability interference, to explain the violation of an important decision theory principle (the ‘sure-thing principle’). We also attempt to introduce other quantum mechanical concepts in relation to the sure-thing principle violation.
Keywords:Sure-thing principle   Probability interference   Contextual probability   Ellsberg paradox   Information function   Financial arbitrage   Ambiguity
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