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A foundation for support theory based on a non-Boolean event space
Authors:Louis Narens
Institution:Department of Cognitive Sciences, University of California, Irvine, Irvine CA92697, USA
Abstract:A new foundation is presented for the theory of subjective judgments of probability known in the psychological literature as “Support Theory”. It is based on new complementation operations that, unlike those of classical probability theory (set-theoretic complementation) and classical logic (negation), need not satisfy the principles of the Law of The Excluded Middle and the Law of Double Complementation. Interrelationships between the new complementation operations and the Kahneman and Tversky judgmental heuristic of availability are described.
Keywords:Support theory  Subjective probability  Judgmental heuristics  Intuitionistic logic  Intuitionism  Probability judgment
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