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多时点结果跨期选择的决策效应及其心理机制
引用本文:孙海龙,安薪如,熊冠星.多时点结果跨期选择的决策效应及其心理机制[J].心理科学进展,2021,29(12):2224-2235.
作者姓名:孙海龙  安薪如  熊冠星
作者单位:1.广东外语外贸大学商学院, 广州 510006;2.暨南大学管理学院, 广州 510632;3.华南师范大学经济与管理学院, 广州 510006
基金项目:国家自然科学基金青年项目(71901097);教育部人文社科基金青年项目(20YJCZH135);广东省哲学社会科学基金青年项目(GD19YGL07);广东省自然科学基金粤穗联合基金(2020A1515110429);广东省自然科学基金面上项目(2019A1515010722)
摘    要:多时点结果跨期选择涉及两个及两个以上多个时点结果的权衡, 正日益成为跨期选择的研究重点。现有研究主要从两时点结果和序列结果两方面深入探讨了多时点结果跨期选择中的诸多决策效应, 包括:隐藏的零效应、象征效应、额外金额效应、前端金额效应以及序列效应, 并运用序列模型和权衡模型对上述决策效应进行阐释。未来还应深入探索同时涉及损益结果混合的多时点结果跨期选择, 运用决策过程追踪技术揭示决策效应的过程机制。

关 键 词:跨期选择  单时点结果  多时点结果  序列模型  权衡模型  
收稿时间:2020-09-17

Decision effect in multiple dated intertemporal choice and its psychological mechanisms
SUN Hai-Long,AN Xin-Ru,XIONG Guan-Xing.Decision effect in multiple dated intertemporal choice and its psychological mechanisms[J].Advances In Psychological Science,2021,29(12):2224-2235.
Authors:SUN Hai-Long  AN Xin-Ru  XIONG Guan-Xing
Institution:1.School of Business, Guangdong University of Foreign Studies, Guangzhou 510006, China;2.School of Management, Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632, China;3.School of Economics and Management, South China Normal University, Guangzhou 510006, China
Abstract:Multiple dated outcomes in intertemporal choice involves the tradeoff of two or more outcomes at multiple time points, which has become the focus of research on intertemporal choice. According to the characteristics of the multiple dated intertemporal choice, this paper reviews the decision effects of multi-dated outcome on intertemporal choice, including: hidden zero effect, symbolic effect, extra dated money effect, front-end amount effect and sequence effect from the two-outcome and the sequence outcomes. In addition, the theoretical models such as the sequence model and the trade-off model to explain the above decision effects are explained. Finally, the paper points out the future research direction: the follow-up research should strengthen the discussion on the field of mixed gain-loss intertemporal choice, and further explore the mechanism of multiple dated intertemporal choice process by using the decision-making process tracking technology.
Keywords:intertemporal choice  single dated outcome  multiple dated outcomes  sequential model  trade-off model  
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