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PREFERENCE REVERSALS DUE TO MYOPIC DISCOUNTING OF DELAYED REWARD
Authors:Kris N. Kirby  R.J. Herrnstein
Affiliation:Williams College;Harvard University
Abstract:Abstract— A basic stationarity axiom of economic theory assumes stable preference between two deferred goods separated by a fixed time. To test this assumption, we offered subjects choices between delayed rewards, while manipulating the delays to those rewards. Preferences typically reversed with changes in delay, as predicted by hyperbolic discounting models of impulsiveness. Of 36 subjects, 34 reversed preference from a larger, later reward to a smaller, earlier reward as the delays to both rewards decreased. We conclude that the stationarity axiom is not appropriate in models of human choice.
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