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Bayesian Hierarchical Classes Analysis
Authors:Iwin Leenen  Iven Van Mechelen  Andrew Gelman  Stijn De Knop
Affiliation:(1) IMIFAP, Málaga Norte 25, Col. Insurgentes Mixcoac, C.P. 03920, Mexico D.F., Mexico;(2) Department of Psychology, K.U. Leuven, Tiensestraat 102, 3000 Leuven, Belgium;(3) Department of Statistics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027, USA
Abstract:Hierarchical classes models are models for N-way N-mode data that represent the association among the N modes and simultaneously yield, for each mode, a hierarchical classification of its elements. In this paper we present a stochastic extension of the hierarchical classes model for two-way two-mode binary data. In line with the original model, the new probabilistic extension still represents both the association among the two modes and the hierarchical classifications. A fully Bayesian method for fitting the new model is presented and evaluated in a simulation study. Furthermore, we propose tools for model selection and model checking based on Bayes factors and posterior predictive checks. We illustrate the advantages of the new approach with applications in the domain of the psychology of choice and psychiatric diagnosis. Iwin Leenen is now at the Instituto Mexicano de Investigación de Familia y Población (IMIFAP), Mexico. The research reported in this paper was partially supported by the Spanish Ministerio de Educación y Ciencia (programa Ramón y Cajal) and by the Research Council of K.U.Leuven (PDM/99/037, GOA/2000/02, and GOA/2005/04). The authors are grateful to Johannes Berkhof for fruitful discussions.
Keywords:Bayesian  hierarchical classes  Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation  Metropolis algorithm  psychiatric diagnosis  psychology of choice
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