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Trajectory of risky decision making for potential gains and losses from ages 5 to 85
Authors:Joshua A. Weller  Irwin P. Levin  Natalie L. Denburg
Affiliation:1. Decision Research, Suite 200 Eugene, Oregon, USA;2. Department of Psychology, University of Iowa, E11 Seashore Hall, Iowa City, Iowa, USA;3. Department of Neurology and Neuroscience, University of Iowa Hospitals and Clinics, Iowa City, Iowa, USA
Abstract:The ability to make advantageous decisions in the face of uncertainty is an essential human skill, yet the development of such abilities over the lifespan is still not well understood. In the current study, from childhood through older adulthood, we tracked the developmental trajectory of risk taking for gains and losses, and expected value (EV) sensitivity in risky choices. In the gain domain, risk‐taking decreased consistently across the lifespan. In the loss domain, risk‐taking was relatively constant across ages, a result we attribute to the pervasiveness of loss aversion. EV sensitivity showed an inverted‐U‐shaped function, increasing from childhood to adulthood but then decreasing for the elderly, which occurred for both risky gains and risky losses. This finding is consistent with neuropsychological and neuroanatomical evidence concerning the role of the frontal lobe in decision making, which is relatively late to develop during childhood but may degrade earlier in the later years. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Keywords:risk taking  children  older adults  cognitive aging  expected value
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