IRT模型参数估计的新方法——MCMC算法

本研究主要探讨MCMC算法在IRT模型参数估计中的实现及其估计精度.通过模拟多种实验条件(人少题少、人题适中、人多题多、被试数及其参数固定情况下项目数变化、项目数及其参数固定情况下人数变化),考察两参数和叁参数Logistic模型的MCMC算法对其参数估计的精度,并与国际通用测量程序-Bilog程序(E-M算法)进行比较研究.模拟实验研究表明,上述各种实验条件下,MCMC算法均可用于IRT模型参数估计,且其估计的精度均较Bilog程序(E-M算法)高,值得推广.     

一种改进的分层并行演化算法(英文)

提出了一种改进的分层并行演化算法。针对传统算法中"同构子种群"和"同步通信"所引发的问题,新算法构建了异构模型,并将各子种群充分连接。子种群一旦满足迁移条件,便可按照预设的迁移模式实施异步迁移。仿真实验结果表明,本文提出的新算法有效地解决了"征服问题"和"无效问题",避免了算法的过早收敛,提高了算法的效率。     

A marginal maximum likelihood method for the vector threshold model to analyze dichotomous choice data

Abstract: At least two types of models, the vector model and the unfolding model can be used for the analysis of dichotomous choice data taken from, for example, the pick any/ n method. The previous vector threshold models have a difficulty with estimation of the nuisance parameters such as the individual vectors and thresholds. This paper proposes a new probabilistic vector threshold model, where, unlike the former vector models, the angle that defines an individual vector is a random variable, and where the marginal maximum likelihood estimation method using the expectation-maximization algorithm is adopted to avoid incidental parameters. The paper also attempts to discuss which of the two models is more appropriate to account for dichotomous choice data. Two sets of dichotomous choice data are analyzed by the model.     

MIRT模型中多维能力及其相关矩阵估计的影响因素

多维项目反应理论因其模型本身的天然优势及其兼具因素分析与项目反应理论于一身的优点,而被广大研究者及应用者所重视.本研究在前人研究基础上,重点讨论MIRT多维能力及能力间相关矩阵的参数估计问题.研究采用Monte Carlo模拟方法进行,在三因素完全随机设计（4 ×3×3）下,使用MCMC算法,探讨测验维度数、维度间的相关大小和测验项目数三个因素对MIRT能力及其相关矩阵估计的影响.     

Temporalising Tableaux

As a remedy for the bad computational behaviour of first-order temporal logic (FOTL), it has recently been proposed to restrict the application of temporal operators to formulas with at most one free variable thereby obtaining so-called monodic fragments of FOTL. In this paper, we are concerned with constructing tableau algorithms for monodic fragments based on decidable fragments of first-order logic like the two-variable fragment or the guarded fragment. We present a general framework that shows how existing decision procedures for first-order fragments can be used for constructing a tableau algorithm for the corresponding monodic fragment of FOTL. Some example instantiations of the framework are presented.     

A new algorithm for the least-squares solution in factor analysis

A new algorithm to obtain the least-squares or MINRES solution in common factor analysis is presented. It is based on the up-and-down Marquardt algorithm developed by the present authors for a general nonlinear least-squares problem. Experiments with some numerical models and some empirical data sets showed that the algorithm worked nicely and that SMC (Squared Multiple Correlation) performed best among four sets of initial values for common variances but that the solution might sometimes be very sensitive to fluctuations in the sample covariance matrix.Numerical computation was made on a NEAC S-1000 computer in the Computer Center, Osaka University.     

IRT中最小化χ2/EM参数估计方法

对IRT的双参数Logistic模型（2PLM）中未知参数估计问题,给出了一个新的估计方法――最小化χ2/EM估计。新方法在充分考虑项目反应理论(IRT)与经典测量理论(CTT)之间的差异的前提下,从统计计算的角度改进了Berkson的最小化χ2估计,取消了Berkson实施最小化χ2估计时需要已知能力参数的不合实际的前提,扩大了应用范围。实验结果表明新方法能力参数的估计结果与BILOG相比,精确度要高,且当样本容量超过2000时,项目参数的估计结果也优于BILOG。实验还表明新方法稳健性好