Bayesian inference for psychology. Part II: Example applications with JASP

Bayesian hypothesis testing presents an attractive alternative to p value hypothesis testing. Part I of this series outlined several advantages of Bayesian hypothesis testing, including the ability to quantify evidence and the ability to monitor and update this evidence as data come in, without the need to know the intention with which the data were collected. Despite these and other practical advantages, Bayesian hypothesis tests are still reported relatively rarely. An important impediment to the widespread adoption of Bayesian tests is arguably the lack of user-friendly software for the run-of-the-mill statistical problems that confront psychologists for the analysis of almost every experiment: the t-test, ANOVA, correlation, regression, and contingency tables. In Part II of this series we introduce JASP (http://www.jasp-stats.org), an open-source, cross-platform, user-friendly graphical software package that allows users to carry out Bayesian hypothesis tests for standard statistical problems. JASP is based in part on the Bayesian analyses implemented in Morey and Rouder’s BayesFactor package for R. Armed with JASP, the practical advantages of Bayesian hypothesis testing are only a mouse click away.     

Bayesian inference for psychology. Part I: Theoretical advantages and practical ramifications

Bayesian parameter estimation and Bayesian hypothesis testing present attractive alternatives to classical inference using confidence intervals and p values. In part I of this series we outline ten prominent advantages of the Bayesian approach. Many of these advantages translate to concrete opportunities for pragmatic researchers. For instance, Bayesian hypothesis testing allows researchers to quantify evidence and monitor its progression as data come in, without needing to know the intention with which the data were collected. We end by countering several objections to Bayesian hypothesis testing. Part II of this series discusses JASP, a free and open source software program that makes it easy to conduct Bayesian estimation and testing for a range of popular statistical scenarios (Wagenmakers et al. this issue).     

缺血性脑血管病的血管内治疗热点

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脊柱侧弯手术治疗进展

随着医学技术的发展,脊柱侧弯的治疗方法也在不断的进步。针对其治疗方法的改变,提出以下思考和分析：（1）脊柱侧弯的治疗方法遵循着螺旋式上升,曲折式前进的发展过程;（2）运用适度原则和最优化原则,为患者制定个体化治疗方案;（3）运用运动发展的眼光即动态性原则来观察和解决脊柱侧弯手术治疗中存在的问题。     

缺血性脑血管病的血管内治疗热点

缺血性脑血管疾病的血管内治疗目前已成为脑血管病治疗研究的热点之一,并以其微创的理念、较好的疗效得到广泛认可,本文重点介绍缺血性脑血管病中支架辅助狭窄扩张、动静脉介入溶栓以及静脉窦血栓形成的发展现状以及存在的问题,并对介入技术在缺血性脑血管病中应用的未来发展方向,作了简要回顾和展望。     

基于机体反馈调控保护扭转肿瘤治疗思路

肿瘤的临床治疗经过漫长积极探索研究,中西医疗效均未取得成就性突破,本文穿越时空隧道,基于人类亿万年适应环境生存生物进化历程形成的精细反馈调控保护视角,循证机体实施反馈调控保护顽强延续生命依据,结合肿瘤病理生理机制,剖析肿瘤形成原因,追溯肿瘤临床治疗误区,扭转肿瘤治疗思路,引领肿瘤治疗新路径。     

冠脉介入治疗时期氯吡格雷抵抗的认识与思考——抓住本质，全面获益

急性冠脉综合征已步入药物洗脱支架进行血运重建的时期,双联抗血小板治疗是接受PCI治疗的常规手段。临床发现部分患者不能从氯吡格雷治疗中获益,存在氯吡格雷抵抗的现象。笔者就氯吡格雷抵抗的发生机制、临床意义及治疗对策进行描述,反映相关研究的趋势和方向,为未来更优化抗血小板治疗提出一种策略。     

《乾》卦爻辞与周文王克商方略

《乾》卦爻辞的思想与周文王克商的整体战略有许多契合之处,如:“潜龙勿用”,与文王根据实力采取战略守势;“见龙在田”,与文王对西土方国的团结怀柔;“夕惕若厉”,与文王小心翼翼地臣事段商王朝;“或跃在渊”,与文王对大邑商发动战略进攻;“飞龙在天”,与文王谋划灭商的战略决战;“亢龙有悔”,与文王认识到攻取之道不可久用;“群龙无首”,与文王设计从武功向文治的战略转移等,皆有相通相合的地方.《乾》卦爻辞与文王克商方略之间的诸多契合表明,殷周之际王朝更迭的沧桑巨变,深刻地影响了《乾》卦爻辞的撰作.其中,文王克商的方略及其过程,应是《乾》卦最为重要的思想渊源之一.