用结构方程建模(SEM)估计概化理论(GT)中的评分者信度

评分者的信度分析 ,已从经典测量理论的方法 (Kendall和谐系数 )发展为基于现代测量理论 (如GT)的方法 ,但由于GT中方差分量估计的工具和途径有限 ,使该方法的推广受到限制。本文介绍了结构方程建模 (SEM )估计GT中方差分量的必要性及原理 ,并通过对某省直国家机关公务员录用考试结构化面试的评分者信度分析 ,阐述用SEM估计概化理论中不同设计下的评分者信度研究     

考试评分缺失数据的概化理论分析

考试评分缺失数据较为常见,如何有效利用现有数据进行统计分析是个关键性问题。在考试评分中,题目与评分者对试卷得分的影响不容忽视。根据概化理论原理,按考试评分规则推导出含有缺失数据双侧面交叉设计（p×i×r）方差分量估计公式,用Matlab7.0软件模拟多组缺失数据,验证此公式的有效性。结果发现：（1）推导出的公式较为可靠,估计缺失数据的方差分量偏差相对较小,即便数据缺失率达到50％以上,公式仍能对方差分量进行较为准确地估计;（2）题目数量对概化理论缺失数据方差分量的估计影响最大,评分者次之,当题目和评价者数量分别为6和5时,公式能够趋于稳定地估计;（3）学生数量对各方差分量的估计影响较小,无论是小规模考试还是大规模考试,概化理论估计缺失数据的多个方差分量结果相差不大。     

在GLMM框架下统一GT与IRT

本文首次提出使用广义线性混合模型(Generalized Linear Mixed Model, GLMM)对概化理论(GT)和项目反应理论(IRT)进行统合,即在一次统计中就能同时获得GT和IRT所需要的估计结果。模拟研究结果显示：相比于传统的GT方差分量估计方法——期望均值平方(Expected Mean Squares, EMS),GLMM可以获得更准确的方差分量、G系数和Φ系数,而且GLMM获得的题目难度参数估计精度优于传统Rasch模型。实证研究展示GLMM在实际心理测量数据分析中的应用。     

经典真分数理论与概化理论信度观评析

经典真分数理论信度观和概化理论信度观是当代心理测量学中的两大信度理论。该简要地介绍了两种信度观的基本思想,并在此基础上,对曲种信度理论的特征进行系统的分析和比较。章认为：概化理论信度观在理论假设、测量误差源的综合分析技术、测量条件的推广研究等方面,比经典真分数理论具有史多的优越性,但概化理论信度观沣重所测心埋特质的单维性和方差分量估计上的负值现象等局限性,大火限制了概化理论在实际测量中的应用。章指出,就目前的发展现状而言,没有哪一种信度理论能够包容或取代另一种信度理论,由此提出了当代信度理论合理使用的几点建议。     

概化理论方差分量估计的跨分布分析

方差分量估计是进行概化理论分析的关键。采用MonteCarlo模拟技术,探讨心理与教育测量数据分布对概化理论各种方法估计方差分量的影响。数据分布包括正态、二项和多项分布,估计方法包括Traditional、Jackknife、Bootstrap和MCMC方法。结果表明:(1)Traditional方法估计正态分布和多项分布数据的方差分量相对较好,估计二项分布数据需要校正,Jackknife方法准确地估计了三种分布数据的方差分量,校正的Bootstrap方法和有先验信息的MCMC方法(MCMCinf)估计三种分布数据的方差分量结果较好;(2)心理与教育测量数据分布对四种方法估计概化理论方差分量有影响,数据分布制约着各种方差分量估计方法性能的发挥,需要加以区分地使用。     

经典真分数理论与概化理论信度观评析

经典真分数理论信度观和概化理论信度观是当代心理测量学中的两大信度理论。该文简要地介绍了两种信度观的基本思想,并在此基础上,对两种信度理论的特征进行系统的分析和比较。文章认为：概化理论信度观在理论假设、测量误差源的综合分析技术、测量条件的推广研究等方面,比经典真分数理论具有更多的优越性,但概化理论信度观注重所测心理特质的单维性和方差分量估计上的负值现象等局限性,大大限制了概化理论在实际测量中的应用。文章指出,就目前的发展现状而言,没有哪一种信度理论能够包容或取代另一种信度理论,由此提出了当代信度理论合理使用的几点建议。     

概化理论缺失数据方差分量估计

各种心理调查、心理实验中, 数据的缺失随处可见。由于数据缺失, 给概化理论分析非平衡数据的方差分量带来一系列问题。基于概化理论框架下, 运用Matlab 7.0软件, 自编程序模拟产生随机双面交叉设计p×i×r缺失数据, 比较和探讨公式法、REML法、拆分法和MCMC法在估计各个方差分量上的性能优劣。结果表明：(1) MCMC方法估计随机双面交叉设计p×i×r缺失数据方差分量, 较其它3种方法表现出更强的优势; (2) 题目和评分者是缺失数据方差分量估计重要的影响因素。     

非正态分布下概化理论方差分量变异量估计

方差分量估计是概化理论的必用技术,但受限于抽样,需要对其变异量进行探讨。采用Monte Carlo数据模拟技术,探讨非正态数据分布对四种方法估计概化理论方差分量变异量的影响。结果表明：（1）不同非正态数据分布下,各种估计方法的“性能”表现出差异性;（2）数据分布对方差分量变异量估计有影响,适合于非正态分布数据的方差分量变异量估计方法不一定适合于正态分布数据。     

基于概化理论的方差分量变异量估计

概化理论广泛应用于心理与教育测量实践中, 方差分量估计是进行概化理论分析的关键。方差分量估计受限于抽样, 需要对其变异量进行探讨。采用蒙特卡洛(Monte Carlo)数据模拟技术, 在正态分布下讨论不同方法对基于概化理论的方差分量变异量估计的影响。结果表明: Jackknife方法在方差分量变异量估计上不足取; 不采取Bootstrap方法的“分而治之”策略, 从总体上看, Traditional方法和有先验信息的MCMC方法在标准误及置信区间这两个变异量估计上优势明显。     

GT与IRT的比较: 北京奥运会男子10米跳台跳水分析

概化理论(GT)和项目反应理论(IRT)从两个不同的方向发展了经典测量理论, GT和IRT中的多面Rasch测量模型(MFRM)在主观评分中都可以用来估计评分中各变异来源对变异的贡献, 对测评的信度进行估计, 提出测评改进意见。12名运动员参加了2008北京奥运会男子10米跳台跳水决赛, 比赛共6个回合, 7名裁判独立对他们在各个回合的表现进行打分。GT和MFRM比较一致地认为运动员自身、回合、运动员与回合的交互效应是运动员得分的重要变异来源, 而裁判员对运动员得分差异的贡献不显著。MFRM同时还估计出难度系数是影响男子跳台跳水成绩的重要变异来源, 在评分等级6.5附近存在步校准错乱, 得出的运动员成绩排序与2008奥运实际排序有所不同。在GT中难度系数作为隐藏侧面, 其效应未能分离出来。GT和MFRM从两个不同的方面给测量提供改进意见: GT发现可以通过增加回合数来提高g系数, 而增加裁判数对其影响不大。MFRM给出各侧面的要素(如某裁判、运动员等)的估计值及其标准误, 它给出的诊断性拟合统计也有助于甄别异常得分或评分模式。     

Together – apart: in touch in a time of separation

This paper explores the experience of working as a Jungian analyst through the various phases of the global COVID-19 pandemic, examining the importance of the physical containing space alongside the analyst’s internal mind and how technology can both help and hinder understanding. A number of clinical vignettes illustrate the challenge of communicating over a distance, paying particular attention to the way countertransference phenomena can become re-attuned. Reference is made to mythology and symbols of hope, and consideration given to the meaning and purpose of the pandemic.     

The Possibility of Meaning in Human Evolution

Science undermines the certitude of non-naturalistic answers to the question of whether human life has meaning. I explore whether evolution can provide a naturalistic basis for existential meaning. Using the work of philosopher Daniel Dennett and scientist Ursula Goodenough, I argue that evolution is the locus of the possibility of meaning because it has produced intentionality, the matrix of consciousness. I conclude that the question of the meaning of human life is an existentialist one: existential meaning is a product of the individual and collective tasks human beings undertake.     

Phenotypic plasticity and archetype: a response to common objections to the biological theory of archetype and instinct

Since Jung’s death in 1961, scholars have attempted to integrate growing biological science data into Jungian concepts such as the collective unconscious, instincts and the archetypes. This enterprise has been challenging due to persistent false dichotomies of gene and environment occasionally arising. Recent works by Roesler (2022a, 2022b) for example, have raised objections to the biological theory of archetypes, but the objections are plagued by such dichotomies. The concept of phenotypic plasticity, however, helps to both avoid this problem as well as bridge the gap between competing theories into a more integrated model with solid biological foundations.     

When is it time to stop? When good enough becomes bad enough

This article draws on Winnicott’s concept of the good enough mother to discuss how to know whether a therapeutic situation is good enough to continue or bad enough to end. This dilemma is explored in terms of clinical syndromes, such as anorexia and pathological gambling, but focuses mainly on analyst-initiated endings, which are termed the ‘Casablanca dilemma’, based on an amplification of the ending of the film Casablanca. The author goes on to discuss such one-sided endings, drawing on interviews with 40 analysts and therapists about their clinical experience. A typology of bad enough endings is presented. The psychological differences between a good enough analysis as opposed to a bad enough one are explored through the ideas of Winnicott and Neumann.     

Kann Es Ein Argument Für Den Skeptizismus Geben? Das Epistemische Problem Der Irrtumsmöglichkeit

Summary  Is there any argument for scepticism? The epistemic problem of the possibility of error. Arguments for scepticism rest on the assumption that knowledge claims are fallible. For this reason the concept of knowledge appears to be questionable. Since it is necessary to distinguish doubts from possible doubts, the arguments for scepticism appear to be unconvincing. If we take it into account that we know something that is immune to doubt, we should draw the conclusion that, contrary to scepticism, knowledge claims have to be compatible with being fallible. Thus any knowledge claim is capable of being doubted.     

The transcendent function in Spitteler’s Prometheus and Epimetheus

In August 2020, John Beebe and Steve Myers met via Zoom to discuss their differing interpretations of psychological typology and the different sources within Jung’s writings that influenced their books: Integrity in Depth: Energies and Patterns in Psychological Type (Beebe), and Myers-Briggs Typology vs Jungian Individuation (Myers). The discussion centred on Spitteler’s epic poem Prometheus und Epimetheus, which forms the basis of chapter V of Psychological Types. This is both the largest chapter and one of two chapters that Jung highlighted in the Argentine foreword as containing the essence of the book. Jung’s book is primarily about the transformation of personality rather than the categorization of people. Although it contains a critical psychology that deconstructs the nature of consciousness, that is only one half of the book and a stepping-stone to the other half, which is the reconciliation of opposites with particular emphasis on the relation of consciousness and the unconscious. Jung assumed that readers were already familiar with Prometheus und Epimetheus, an understanding of which sheds light on the nature of the transformation that Jung described – the development of a new attitude towards attitude itself.     

Chapter 6: Biblical Foundations for a Practical Theology of Aging

SUMMARY

This article reviews Biblical sources pertaining to the elderly, particularly the frail elderly. Founded on these sources, implications for elderly with Alzheimer's Disease and other forms of dementia are addressed through a personal perspective informed by writings of Christian mystics.     

Seeing in the Dark: A View into Dissociation and Healing

In this paper, I will explore the role of art-making, the experience of trauma and dissociation, and the process of working with self-states from an analytic and creative frame. Relevant literature on dissociation, trauma, and the use of art will be discussed. A case involving my work with an adolescent girl who had experienced sexual abuse from a family member will be shared, with an emphasis on the meaningful role images played during the therapeutic process. Both Jungian and psychoanalytic models of conceptualizing and working with dissociation are included, following Donald Kalsched’s (2013) recommendation for a “binocular stance” to treatment, including both a focus on the inner, intrapsychic world and the interpersonal, relational realm, and how art images both illuminated and expressed these realms. Within the therapeutic process, art images allowed the therapist a view into the client’s unconscious process, and created a meeting ground for dissociative barriers to be gradually seen, felt and known, by both therapist and client. The experience of dissociation, in images and in session, provided a reference point for myself and my client, Taylor, to develop a shared understanding and a framework for growth.