| 童年期抑郁情绪发展的异质性与可预测性:2年追踪研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 苏志强,马郑豫. 童年期抑郁情绪发展的异质性与可预测性:2年追踪研究[J]. 心理发展与教育, 2021, 37(1): 84-91. DOI: 10.16187/j.cnki.issn1001-4918.2021.01.11 |
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| 作者姓名： | 苏志强 马郑豫 |
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| 作者单位： | 长江师范学院教师教育学院, 重庆 408100 |
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| 基金项目： | 全国教育科学规划教育部青年课题“农村留守儿童的心理素质发展及其影响因素：一项两年追踪研究”（EBA170438）。 |
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| 摘 要： | 以儿童抑郁量表为研究工具，对小学3到4年级771名儿童进行了2年的追踪研究。采用潜类别增长模型和终端结局潜发展模型，分别考察了童年期儿童抑郁情绪发展的亚群组类型，以及儿童抑郁情绪的发展特征对观察期结束时抑郁情绪的预测作用。结果表明：（1）童年期儿童的抑郁情绪发展呈现出三种不同的亚类型，即抑郁高风险组、抑郁低风险组和抑郁自愈组，各类型组人数比例分别为9.6%、53.4%和36.8%；（2）童年期儿童抑郁情绪的初始水平及其发展变化率均可以显著预测观察期结束时的抑郁情绪状况。童年期儿童抑郁情绪的早期监测工作有着重要的实践意义。
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| 关 键 词： | 抑郁 亚群组 终端结局预测 儿童 |
The Heterogeneity and Predictability of Childhood Depression Development: A 2-year Follow-up Study |
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| SU Zhiqiang,MA Zhengyu. The Heterogeneity and Predictability of Childhood Depression Development: A 2-year Follow-up Study[J]. Psychological Development and Education, 2021, 37(1): 84-91. DOI: 10.16187/j.cnki.issn1001-4918.2021.01.11 |
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| Authors: | SU Zhiqiang MA Zhengyu |
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| Affiliation: | Faculty of Teacher Education, Yangtze Normal University, Chongqing 408100 |
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| Abstract: | In this study, 771 students in grades 3~4 were investigated by Children Depression Scale in the time of 2 years. Adopting The latent category growth model and The latent growth model with distal outcome measure. This study examined the subgroup types of childhood depression development, and the predictive effects of the developmental characteristics of childhood depression on the status of depression at the end of the observation period. The results indicated that:(1) the development of depression in childhood children presents three different subtypes:High risk group for depression, Low risk group for depression and Depression self-healing group. The proportion of people in each type group was 9.6%,53.4% and 36.8% respectively; (2) The initial level of depression in childhood and its rate of development can significantly predict the depression at the end of the observation period. The early monitoring of childhood depression is of great practical significance. |
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| Keywords: | depression subgroups distal outcome prediction child |
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