| 因果判断中经验与共变信息的结合及各自作用 |
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| 引用本文： | 胡清芬,陈英和,林崇德. 因果判断中经验与共变信息的结合及各自作用[J]. 心理学报, 2005, 37(2): 189-198. DOI: |
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| 作者姓名： | 胡清芬 陈英和 林崇德 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京师范大学发展心理研究所，北京100875 |
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| 摘 要： | 研究使用相继呈现信息的方法控制了被试获得信息的顺序，从而将经验和共变信息在因果判断中所起到的作用分离了出来。结果表明：（1）个体综合两种信息进行因果判断的过程既不是简单的相加操作，也不是使用经验信息控制共变信息的进入，而是先判断经验信息，再判断共变信息是否与之一致，当出现不一致的情况时又重新考虑经验信息。（2）在改变先前判断的过程中，经验信息所起的作用更大，其中又以当其证明待判断原因不可信时所产生的改变更大。
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| 关 键 词： | 因果判断 经验信息 共变信息 |
| 收稿时间： | 2003-12-19 |
| 修稿时间： | 2003-12-19 |
RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN BELIEFS AND COVARIATION IN CAUSAL REASONING |
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| Hu Qingfen,Chen Yinghe,Lin Chongde. RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN BELIEFS AND COVARIATION IN CAUSAL REASONING[J]. Acta Psychologica Sinica, 2005, 37(2): 189-198. DOI: |
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| Authors: | Hu Qingfen Chen Yinghe Lin Chongde |
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| Affiliation: | Institute of Development Psychology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China |
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| Abstract: | The present study investigated how people combine covariation information and pre-existing beliefs in causal reasoning. The results were as follows: (1)Subjects did not add up these two sources of information simply, nor did they use a threshold for covariation information. They considered beliefs first, then judged whether the covariation was consistent with their pre-existing beliefs. When these two sources of information collided, they would reconsider their pre-existing beliefs. (2) The effects of beliefs were larger than those of covariation when subjects changed their judgements. These changes were larger when the candidate cause was unbelievable. |
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| Keywords: | causal judgment pre-exiting beliefs covariation. |
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