| 行为决策中模糊规避研究的回顾与展望 |
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| 引用本文： | 张军伟,徐富明,刘腾飞,陈雪玲,蒋多. 行为决策中模糊规避研究的回顾与展望[J]. 应用心理学, 2009, 15(3): 245-250,270 |
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| 作者姓名： | 张军伟 徐富明 刘腾飞 陈雪玲 蒋多 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 华中师范大学心理学院暨湖北省人的发展与心理健康重点实验室,武汉,430079
2. 华中师范大学心理学院暨湖北省人的发展与心理健康重点实验室,武汉,430079;中国科学院心理研究所,北京,100101 |
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| 摘 要： | 模糊规避是指在相同奖赏的情况下，决策者会偏好有精确概率的事件而不是从主观上判断具有相同模糊概率的事件。自从Ellsberg提出模糊规避的概念以来，模糊规避已在行为决策研究的多个领域得到广泛验证。本文梳理了近五十年来关于模糊规避的研究文献，系统分析了模糊规避的研究范式、心理机制和影响因素，同时提出了未来的研究展望。
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| 关 键 词： | 模糊规避 Ellsberg悖论 相比无知 信息缺失 |
A Review and Prospect of Ambiguity Aversion in Behavioral Decision Making |
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| ZHANG Jun-wei,XU Fu-ming,LIU Teng-fei,CHEN Xue-ling,JIANG Duo. A Review and Prospect of Ambiguity Aversion in Behavioral Decision Making[J]. Chinese JOurnal of Applied Psychology, 2009, 15(3): 245-250,270 |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Jun-wei XU Fu-ming LIU Teng-fei CHEN Xue-ling JIANG Duo |
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| Affiliation: | 1. School of Psychology, Central China Normal University, and Hubei Human Development and Mental Health Key Laboratory, Wuhan 430079, China;2. Institute of Psychology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China) |
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| Abstract: | Ambiguity aversion refers to that people prefer events with known probabilities to similar ambiguous events where the decision maker does not know the values of the probabilities. Ambiguity aversion has been well-established in the field of behavioral decision making and verified across many different domains since it was first proposed by Ellsberg. This paper sorted out the research on ambiguity aversion over live decades, systematically analyzed the research paradigm, psychological mechanism and influential factors of ambiguity aversion. Finally, the directions for future study on ambiguity aversion were suggested. |
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| Keywords: | ambiguity aversion Ellsberg paradox comparative ignorance information missing |
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