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Goodness-of-fit and confidence intervals of approximate models
Authors:Lourens J. Waldorp  Raoul P.P.P. Grasman
Affiliation:a Department of Psychology, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
b Department of Cognitive Neuroscience, University Maastricht, Maastricht, the Netherlands
Abstract:If the model for the data are strictly speaking incorrect, then how can one test whether the model fits? Standard goodness-of-fit (GOF) tests rely on strictly correct or incorrect models. But in practice the correct model is not assumed to be available. It would still be of interest to determine how good or how bad the approximation is. But how can this be achieved? If it is determined that a model is a good approximation and hence a good explanation of the data, how can reliable confidence intervals be constructed? In this paper, an attempt is made to answer the above questions. Several GOF tests and methods of constructing confidence intervals are evaluated both in a simulation and with real data from the internet-based daily news memory test.
Keywords:Model fit   Approximation error   Sandwich parameter covariance   Robust covariance
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