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Causal Probability
Authors:John L. Pollock
Affiliation:(1) Department of Philosophy, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, 85721, U.S.A.
Abstract:Examples growing out of the Newcomb problem have convinced many people that decision theory should proceed in terms of some kind of causal probability. I endorse this view and define and investigate a variety of causal probability. My definition is related to Skyrms' definition, but proceeds in terms of objective probabilities rather than subjective probabilities and avoids taking causal dependence as a primitive concept.
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