首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
     


Representation of subjective preferences under ambiguity
Authors:Bruno Girotto
Affiliation:Dipartimento di Matematica Applicata “B. de Finetti”, Università di Trieste, Piazzale Europa 1, I-34127 Trieste, Italy
Abstract:
The objective of this paper is to show how potentially incomplete preferences of a decision maker (DM) on acts can be modelled formally in a subjective ambiguity perspective. We identify acts as functions from a state space Ω to bounded support (finitely additive) probabilities over a set X of prizes. Then, we characterize preferences over equibounded acts a which have a numerical representation by the family of functionals View the MathML source, where u is a cardinal utility on X (representing the risk attitude of the DM) and Π is a unique pointwise closed convex set of probabilities on all events in Ω (representing the ambiguity perceived by the DM). To this end, in addition to the usual independence and continuity assumptions, we add completeness and dominance for preferences restricted to constant acts; moreover, we consider two other properties (subjective monotonicity and coherence) related with the preferences of a DM who is not able, owing to his partial knowledge, to evaluate any event in Ω.
Keywords:Ambiguity (or Knightian uncertainty)   Risk   Incomplete preferences   Finitely additive expected utility   Prior
本文献已被 ScienceDirect 等数据库收录!
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号