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Utilizing probabilities as decision weights in closed and open information boards: A comparison of children and adults
Authors:Tilmann Betsch  Anna Lang  Anne Lehmann  Jana Maria Axmann
Affiliation:1. University of Erfurt, Germany;2. University of Cologne, Germany
Abstract:Decisions in preschoolers (6 years), elementary schoolers (9.7 years), and adults (21 years) were studied with an information board crossing three probabilistic cues (validities: .83, .67, .50) with two options. Experiment 1 (n = 215) applied a standard version of the information board (closed presentation format), in which information must be searched sequentially and kept in mind for the decision. Experiment 2 (n = 217) applied an open format (Glöckner & Betsch, 2008), in which all information was visible during decision making. Elementary schoolers but not preschoolers benefited from an open format — indicated by an increase in using probabilities as decision weights. In the open but not closed format, choices were biased by normatively irrelevant information (the lure). Variations in the prediction patterns of the cues influenced decisions in all age groups. Effects for presentation format, pattern, and lure jointly indicate that even children are capable of considering multiple information in their decisions.
Keywords:Decision making   Probabilistic inference   Weighting and information integration   Development of decision skills   Information board   Information search
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