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Order of question presentation and correlation between judgments of comparative and own risk
Authors:Gold Ron S  Barclay Alicia
Affiliation:School of Psychology, Deakin University, 221 Burwood Highway, Burwood, VIC 3125, Australia.
Abstract:Unrealistic optimism is often assessed using a single question asking for an estimate of comparative risk. However, it has been proposed that individuals treat such a question essentially as though it were only about their own risk. This proposal leads to the prediction that, when the questions about own risk and comparative risk are asked in sequence, the correlation between the resulting estimates should be lower if the question about own risk comes first than if the question about comparative risk comes first. This prediction was tested using a student sample (N=68). Participants answered the two types of question in sequence, with order of presentation being counterbalanced. Results were in accord with the prediction. Possible reasons are advanced for individuals' answering questions about comparative risk as if the questions concerned their own risk.
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